Srijeda, 25 prosinca, 2024

NEW PUTIN MOBILIZATION WITH DEBT FORGIVENESS: Is the Kremlin Preparing a Final Showdown Aimed at NATO’s Collapse and a New Geopolitical Order Focused on Lasting Peace?

Vrlo
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Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a news conference after a meeting of the State Council on youth policy in Moscow, Russia, December 22, 2022. Sputnik/Sergey Guneev/Pool via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS – THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a law offering debt forgiveness to military recruits willing to go to war. While this move initially appears to strengthen military capacity in the Ukraine conflict, the reality goes much deeper.

What if Putin is fully aware that a temporary resolution in Ukraine does not lead to ultimate peace but merely sets the stage for NATO’s renewed push against Russia?

Mobilization through economic incentives signals that the Kremlin is planning for a prolonged and systematic conflict, rather than a swift resolution to the war. This law unveils a strategy extending far beyond Ukraine—potentially to create chaos within NATO and foster conditions for the alliance’s eventual disintegration.

By using economic relief to drive enlistment, the Kremlin aims to maintain its military strength despite internal financial hardships, while fortifying Russia for broader geopolitical offensives against the West.

This is not a preparation for negotiations but evidence that Putin is betting on a long-term war scenario with objectives far exceeding Ukraine.

NATO: A HOUSE DIVIDED
Putin’s Plan B is rooted in an assessment of NATO’s vulnerabilities. The alliance, already burdened by internal political divisions and growing mistrust among its members, is becoming increasingly susceptible to external and internal crises. With the absence of its usual unifying leadership, NATO risks losing its coherence and effectiveness as a global military force.

The Kremlin’s clear aim is to provoke situations that NATO cannot respond to cohesively, undermining its credibility as a collective defense organization.

Putin does not need to conquer Kyiv to achieve his objectives. Instead, the Kremlin could escalate tensions along the Baltic borders, in Belarus, or even Poland, forcing NATO to react.

However, internal chaos—political crises, energy insecurities, and diverging national interests—could make NATO’s response fragmented, fueling further divisions.

Putin has no intention of ending the war in Ukraine through diplomatic solutions, at least not on terms that signify a Russian defeat. Instead, this law shows the Kremlin is preparing to exhaust the West and NATO through a prolonged struggle.

While the world anticipates a de-escalation from Russia, Putin is accelerating mobilization efforts and military enhancements, preparing for a new phase of confrontation. This legislation underscores that peace in Ukraine is far from the Kremlin’s current agenda.

PUTIN’S ENDGAME: NATO’S COLLAPSE AND A NEW ORDER
Putin’s Plan B isn’t just about military victory. His ultimate goal is to weaken NATO to the point of disintegration, demonstrating its inability to protect member states and global peace. The Kremlin views NATO not as a barrier to Russian expansionism, as often portrayed in Western media, but as the root cause of global destabilization and conflict. The dissolution of NATO would be a pivotal step toward a new world order where Russia, free from Western military pressures, could expand its economic influence without facing pipelines or drones from market-driven ideologues.

Putin’s vision of a world without NATO is based on the belief that removing military alliances and reducing militarization would lead to greater stability and lasting peace. Without NATO, some analysts close to the Kremlin—and even certain Western theorists—suggest the world would transition into a phase of intensified cooperation between nations, free from the pressure of military blocs.

WHAT DOES PUTIN’S PLAN B MEAN FOR THE WORLD?
Putin’s law is not merely a socio-economic measure—it is a signal of a long-term strategy encompassing not just Ukraine but also the destabilization of NATO itself. As the West loses focus due to internal crises, the Kremlin sees an opportunity for a decisive move. This move does not necessarily spell disaster for the world.

Contrary to the expectation that the war in Ukraine might end in a temporary compromise, awaiting the return of another Western leader like Biden to launch another offensive against Russia, Putin’s Plan B shows that the Kremlin views the current situation as a chance for deeper global shifts.

The outcome of this strategy could mark the beginning of NATO’s end and usher in a new era of international relations—one where militarization and alliances are replaced with lasting peace and cooperation.

Even without this, NATO is already on shaky ground. One calculated move by Putin could bring the fragile structure crumbling down, marking not only the symbolic but also the formal end of the Cold War—or the “Iron Curtain,” as coined by arguably one of the greatest Croatian leaders, Vlatko Maček. (Incidentally, the same man imprisoned by the so-called “Croatian Army,” showing just how “Croatian” that army truly was).

IURKOV / POSKOK.info

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