Germany’s “No” as the Beginning
Olaf Scholz, Germany’s chancellor, recently played a card that didn’t go unnoticed. Germany will not lift restrictions on the use of long-range Western weapons in Ukraine, even if the United States does. Germany sent a cold message to Kyiv: there’s a limit to support. While Scholz speaks of the necessity of aid, it’s clear that Germany doesn’t want to push further.
Zelensky, on the other hand, projects optimism, claiming the end of the war is closer than we think. But is that genuine hope or just political maneuvering? Right now, when Ukraine needs the West’s support the most, major European players like Germany are already setting boundaries.
NATO Weapons in the Hands of a Betrayed Ukraine?
What will happen if the restrictions on NATO weapons remain? What if an exhausted Ukraine, betrayed by its allies, makes an unexpected turn – an alliance with Russia? In political and military games, alliances are fluid, and history is full of such twists. Who’s to say that Ukraine, armed with NATO weapons, wouldn’t leverage its position and look for an escape elsewhere?
Putin, ever the master of strategic planning, would see the advantages of this scenario. If the West continues to limit its aid and both the EU and the U.S. scale back their support, Putin could offer Zelensky an honorable exit: all of Ukraine in an alliance with Russia and Belarus. Sound unbelievable? In moments of desperation, anything becomes possible.
Putin’s Move the West Didn’t See Coming
As NATO balances between supporting Ukraine and avoiding direct confrontation with Russia, the most radical scenario becomes increasingly likely. What if Ukraine turns its weapons on those who abandoned it? What if Putin, the master of long-term strategy, offers Zelensky what the West cannot – the salvation of Ukraine, but on his terms?
Of course, the West never considered such a possibility. Their policies are based on short-term calculations and electoral cycles, while Putin thinks several steps ahead. If Zelensky, faced with Western betrayal, seeks a way out, Putin might just be the one to offer it.
History as a Teacher
The West shouldn’t be so surprised by a potential reversal. Let’s not forget Italy – a country that, in the midst of the two largest wars in history, switched sides twice. If Italy could do it, who’s to say Ukraine won’t? History is unpredictable, and the lines of alliances are fragile.
The end of this war may be closer than we think, but the question remains: who will emerge as the winner, and who as the loser? Ukraine, betrayed by its allies and aligned with Russia – this is a scenario no one anticipated but one that could, in a flash, become reality.